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Post by aaronjh on Mar 2, 2009 15:05:10 GMT -5
not bad gw spencey
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Post by derwin on Mar 2, 2009 15:05:23 GMT -5
LOL. Is anybody good at statistics? Like good enough to figure out the chances of that happening? He had a 0.6% chance of this happening. 0.6% that 5 would jump to 1 AND 6 would jump to 2?
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Post by derwin on Mar 2, 2009 15:05:38 GMT -5
Seems a little high to me.
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Post by Spencer on Mar 2, 2009 15:06:58 GMT -5
LOL, half of 1 percent seems high?
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Post by ashes on Mar 2, 2009 15:10:50 GMT -5
Seems a little high to me. He had the 5th and 6th projected picks. He has about 8% chance of landing the #1 pick with the 5th projected, and 7% of landing the #1 with the 6th projected. Since he lands the #1 pick with the 5th, the 6th projected has about an 8% chance of landing the #2. Therefore, for both instances to occur, you would have .08 * .08, which is 0.64%.
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Post by martinez on Mar 2, 2009 15:11:46 GMT -5
Spencer helps ashes steal the best FA from Milwaukee in BBS and shoots him to a 9-1 sim. then Ashes in turn helps Spencer get the #1 and #2 from #5 and #6.
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Post by Spencer on Mar 2, 2009 15:13:01 GMT -5
Spencer helps ashes steal the best FA from Milwaukee in BBS and shoots him to a 9-1 sim. then Ashes in turn helps Spencer get the #1 and #2 from #5 and #6. You maam are a negative nancy.
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Post by ashes on Mar 2, 2009 15:13:34 GMT -5
Spencer helps ashes steal the best FA from Milwaukee in BBS and shoots him to a 9-1 sim. then Ashes in turn helps Spencer get the #1 and #2 from #5 and #6. Almost true. It was actually all me. I'm actually a superhero with the ability to manipulate odds and percentages.
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Post by idle on Mar 2, 2009 15:20:57 GMT -5
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Post by ashes on Mar 2, 2009 15:22:08 GMT -5
Well, damn. That looks shitty as hell now.
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Post by Spencer on Mar 2, 2009 15:22:46 GMT -5
Not bad. I traded Smits and Shaw. Not sure what Smits netted me, but Shaw got me the GST 92 1st. I'm obviously keeping Armstrong and Zo. And it'll take a ton to move the 93 1st.
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Post by Spencer on Mar 2, 2009 15:23:16 GMT -5
Well, damn. That looks shitty as hell now. I shouldve gotten more.
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Post by DB on Mar 2, 2009 15:36:31 GMT -5
wow, holy shit. that is fucking crazy. congrats spence,
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Post by House on Mar 2, 2009 16:17:10 GMT -5
Which is strangely around the same % chance the Hawks had of getting the #2 pick last year. Huh. Great. Now everyone's going to figure out all the possibilities to get Shaq.
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Post by cliff "woo" harris on Mar 2, 2009 16:24:36 GMT -5
wow homo...
We have such bad luck.
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